Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.6%
Atalanta
14.1%
Draw
6.3%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Atalanta
vs
0.53
Monza
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
3-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.0%
5-0
3.7%
0-1
2.9%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).