Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.8%
Boreham Wood
16.7%
Draw
10.5%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Boreham Wood
vs
0.93
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
3.7%
0-0
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).