Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Plymouth
20.5%
Draw
25.6%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Plymouth
vs
1.25
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
4.9%
3-2
3.9%
0-0
3.3%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).