Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Exeter
24.7%
Draw
33.1%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Exeter
vs
1.15
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).