Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Belenenses
30.4%
Draw
29.1%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Belenenses
vs
0.84
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
0-0
14.4%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).