Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Carrarese
28.9%
Draw
19.0%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Carrarese
vs
0.79
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).