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AHT: 01

10 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.2%
Doncaster
17.1%
Draw
69.8%
Crystal Palace

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Doncaster

vs
2.36

Crystal Palace

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
0-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).