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AHT: 10CSV

06 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.2%
Dundee
26.5%
Draw
51.3%
Motherwell

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Dundee

vs
1.60

Motherwell

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).