Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.9%
Fakel
42.2%
Draw
41.9%
Rostov
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41
Fakel
vs
0.82
Rostov
Markets
BTTS19.9%
Over 0.569.6%
Over 1.536.0%
Over 2.512.7%
Over 3.53.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
30.4%
0-1
22.9%
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
4.0%
0-3
2.7%
2-0
2.4%
2-1
2.0%
1-3
1.1%
2-2
0.8%
0-4
0.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).