Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Shrewsbury
27.2%
Draw
33.3%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Shrewsbury
vs
1.09
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).