Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.0%
Roma
14.7%
Draw
7.4%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Roma
vs
0.60
Benevento
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
3-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
4-0
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
1-1
6.9%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
3.4%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).