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AHT: 12CSV

16 Feb 2020 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.1%
Kilmarnock
21.4%
Draw
57.6%
Hibernian

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Kilmarnock

vs
2.15

Hibernian

Markets

BTTS63.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.5%
2-3
4.3%
0-0
3.8%
1-4
3.7%
1-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).