Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Spezia
29.2%
Draw
19.0%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Spezia
vs
0.78
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).