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16 Apr 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.2%
Hannover
25.9%
Draw
20.0%
Fortuna Dusseldorf

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Hannover

vs
0.97

Fortuna Dusseldorf

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).