Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.7%
Hamburg
14.0%
Draw
6.3%
Hansa Rostock
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77
Hamburg
vs
0.70
Hansa Rostock
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
7.6%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).