Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.1%
Fredrikstad
20.5%
Draw
15.4%
Strømsgodset
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Fredrikstad
vs
0.86
Strømsgodset
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).