Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Famalicao
26.4%
Draw
24.7%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Famalicao
vs
0.89
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
9.9%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).