Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Frosinone
29.0%
Draw
33.6%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Frosinone
vs
1.24
Monza
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).