Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Accrington
28.8%
Draw
38.5%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Accrington
vs
1.11
Notts County
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).