Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Modena
30.3%
Draw
18.6%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Modena
vs
0.73
Brescia
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).