Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Maidenhead
27.0%
Draw
39.0%
Torquay
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Maidenhead
vs
1.47
Torquay
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).