Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.0%
Ipswich
24.8%
Draw
61.2%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Ipswich
vs
1.87
Everton
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
4.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).