Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Hartberg
30.8%
Draw
32.8%
Sturm Graz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Hartberg
vs
1.08
Sturm Graz
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).