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02 Mar 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.2%
Celtic
12.5%
Draw
5.3%
St Mirren

Expected Goals (xG)

2.83

Celtic

vs
0.63

St Mirren

Markets

BTTS44.3%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.6%
3-0
11.9%
1-0
8.5%
4-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
5.3%
5-0
4.8%
0-0
3.5%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).