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DHT: 10CSV

21 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.6%
Giannina
28.3%
Draw
45.1%
Panionios

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Giannina

vs
1.48

Panionios

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).