Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.2%
Marseille
19.8%
Draw
14.0%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Marseille
vs
0.79
Angers
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
2-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).