Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Venezia
30.5%
Draw
25.2%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Venezia
vs
0.94
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).