Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Crewe
25.1%
Draw
32.4%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Crewe
vs
1.19
Salford
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).