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13 Apr 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.4%
Wolves
29.6%
Draw
40.9%
Tottenham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Wolves

vs
1.42

Tottenham

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).