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Metz

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AHT: 10CSV

06 May 2018

Angers

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.5%
Metz
27.2%
Draw
38.3%
Angers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Metz

vs
1.17

Angers

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.0%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).