Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Holstein Kiel
22.9%
Draw
54.5%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Holstein Kiel
vs
2.07
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.1%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
4.3%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).