Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Cittadella
32.1%
Draw
37.4%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Cittadella
vs
1.14
Ternana
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).