Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Crewe
28.0%
Draw
29.8%
Macclesfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Crewe
vs
0.96
Macclesfield
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).