Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.9%
Greuther Furth
20.8%
Draw
61.3%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Greuther Furth
vs
2.30
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
0-2
8.0%
1-3
7.3%
0-1
6.2%
0-3
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-3
4.4%
1-4
4.2%
0-0
3.9%
0-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).