Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Sunderland
20.7%
Draw
18.1%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Sunderland
vs
0.86
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).