Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Swansea
29.3%
Draw
23.1%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Swansea
vs
0.90
West Brom
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).