Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Reading
24.2%
Draw
31.7%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Reading
vs
1.15
Bolton
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).