Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Colchester
29.2%
Draw
27.5%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Colchester
vs
0.85
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).