Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Monza
23.3%
Draw
12.7%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Monza
vs
0.73
Perugia
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
12.7%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).