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07 Jan 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.1%
Nottingham Forest
21.7%
Draw
38.1%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

Nottingham Forest

vs
1.72

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS67.8%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
7.1%
1-0
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-2
4.2%
2-3
4.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).