Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Gillingham
26.1%
Draw
36.9%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Gillingham
vs
1.24
Salford
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
10.9%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).