Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Exeter
25.3%
Draw
20.9%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Exeter
vs
0.75
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).