Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Swansea
26.7%
Draw
19.2%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Swansea
vs
0.86
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.4%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).