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AHT: 11CSV

08 Apr 2023 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.2%
Sampdoria
30.8%
Draw
40.0%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Sampdoria

vs
1.07

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS37.8%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.7%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).