Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.9%
Sheffield Weds
20.1%
Draw
71.9%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Sheffield Weds
vs
2.02
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.9%
0-1
15.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-1
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-0
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
2-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).