Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
Ponferradina
24.3%
Draw
19.9%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Ponferradina
vs
0.87
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).