Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.6%
Famalicao
29.5%
Draw
50.9%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Famalicao
vs
1.39
Benfica
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).