Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.7%
Villarreal
15.4%
Draw
7.0%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Villarreal
vs
0.58
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
1-0
12.1%
3-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
7.0%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-0
3.4%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).