Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.3%
Castellon
18.3%
Draw
18.4%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Castellon
vs
1.25
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS65.0%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
1-0
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
4-0
3.6%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).