Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
Brescia
22.4%
Draw
11.6%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Brescia
vs
0.71
Lecco
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
1-0
12.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.0%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).